Global change ecology

Riparian plant networks under increasing future drought

The world is changing at rates unprecedented in human history, leading to major disruption of ecological dynamics. By analysing long-term ecological datasets with various statistical tools, we have uncovered the various ways in which freshwater biodiversity is being affected by this change. We also focus on developing forecasts of how biodiversity will respond to this change into the future (see forecasting).

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Jonathan D. Tonkin
Senior Lecturer & Rutherford Discovery Fellow

Publications

Designing flow regimes to support entire river ecosystems

We explored cross‐ecosystem effects of environmental flow regimes designed to benefit focal groups of plants, fishes, and …

Prepare river ecosystems for an uncertain future

As the climate warms, we can’t restore waterways to pristine condition, but models can predict potential changes, argue Jonathan D. …

Increasing drought favors nonnative fishes in a dryland river: Evidence from a multispecies demographic model

Understanding how novel biological assemblages are structured in relation to dynamic environmental regimes remains a central challenge …

Moderate warming over the past 25 years has already reorganized stream invertebrate communities

Climate warming often results in species range shifts, biodiversity loss and accumulated climatic debts of biota (i.e. slower changes …

Effects of changing climate on european stream invertebrate communities: A long-term data analysis

Long-term observations on riverine benthic invertebrate communities enable assessments of the potential impacts of global change on …

Flow regime alteration degrades ecological networks in riparian ecosystems

We employed a combination of population modelling and network theory to explore the consequences of possible flow regime futures on …